Predictive Analytics

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3 days ago
5 min

Public Policy Parameterization -- Default Probabilities

Which brings us to 2020 and the Pandemic Problem. The pandemic amplifies further the potential for misleading analysis regarding default pr

4 days ago
2 min

Public Policy Parameterization -- Pandemic Edition

When August vacations are over, many of the pandemic-era policies will have to be renewed, expanded, or eliminated. Every decision amplifie

Aug 3
5 min

FinTech Fishing Expedition

During July, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) released a report recommending a range of mechanisms to improve data gathering con

Jul 7
1 min

Measuring #LIBOR Transition Risks

Beyond these technical issues, very real and difficult challenges await executives responsible for managing increasingly remote and distribu

Jun 29
5 min

Scenario Analysis Hard Truth: No Easy Short Cuts Exist

The good news is that pandemic-era data deficits and climate change risk management priorities arise at the beginning of the data revolu

Jun 22
4 min

Scenario Analysis Misconceptions (2 of 3): Event Risk Random Variables

Explaining why and how public policy risks are not random variables. Access to concrete data helps significantly.

Jun 18
4 min

Scenario Analysis Misconceptions (1 of 3): The Random Walk

So far this week, we have explored pandemic-era challenges for scenario analysis designers due to Two Data Deficits and Why Data Deficits...

Jun 16
5 min

Why Pandemic-Era Data Deficits Matter

Structural breaks in a data series create real challenges for risk forecasting. Among other things, decisions must be made (with sparse dat

Jun 12
1 min

QOTD - Pandemic Economic Policy

Increasingly, central bankers are all converging on a consensus position. Their message is clear: even if the pandemic were miraculously to

May 18
3 min

Next-Gen Data-Driven Scenario Analysis

How COVID19 requires policy risk nowcasting and an increased focus on scenario analysis.

May 14
1 min

Webinar Announcement: Pandemic Policymaking (Round 2)

Are you ready for the next round of pandemic policymaking? Join us May 21 for a webinar using data-driven analysis to assess policy trends.

May 13
2 min

QOTD -- Federal Reserve Rings Alarm Bells

Federal Reserve joins BoJ and ECB in raising red flags about the economic cycle.

May 13
2 min

QOTD- #Trade + #Brexit + Japan = Global Rebalancing

What today's UK free trade strategy regarding Japan tells us about future Brexit and trade policy trajectories.

May 4
4 min

Opportunities Amid #Pandemic Disruption

Shifts in trade policies, digital taxation policy, data privacy requirements, and ultimately the withdrawal of emergency economic lifeline

Apr 23
5 min

#DigitalTax Policy -- Accelerating Due To COVID19

How and why global efforts to tax digital services are accelerating in response to the COVID19 pandemic.

Mar 31
1 min

COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENT -- Using Data to Help Save Jobs

Helping to save jobs by using our data in combination with other innovative technology services in the UK and Ireland.

Mar 25
1 min

COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENT -- Seed Stage Investment Acquired

Announcing significant seed stage funding.

Mar 6
7 min

COVID19 Policy Trajectories From Here

This post first provides some concrete data to help generate solid analysis. It then unpacks the main policy toolkits available to governme

Mar 4
3 min

QOTD -- FinTech Data, EuroArea safe assets

Lost in the shuffle was this strategically significant report regarding the EuroArea economic and financial system. The report holds signif

Feb 26
4 min

Trade and Economic Growth -- Coronavirus Questions

Even if mortality rates remain low, substitution effects will power shifts in consumption beyond the tourism and transportation sectors.

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